CHI @ OAK – Week 5

I’m sitting here piling stuff onto the scale for this game, and everything seems to tip in favor of The Bears. 

The Bears just made it to London. The Raiders haven’t been in their own beds for over a week.

The Raiders have one of their better defense pieces in Vontaze Burfict suspended for the season. The Bears’ defense, on the other hand, got their tackle machine back in Roquan Smith. The Dog loved that Defense without him last week too!

Derek Carr has a passer rating approaching 100 and the offense is still chasing its tail. The Bears lose their starting QB and Chase Daniel arguably looks like an upgrade for the Bears offense.

The scale all points Bears. More often than not, that’s my queue to just do the opposite, but The Bears cover the 4.5 points in this one with another big defensive game.

Unders this year are 28-22 and with this Bears team I don’t see many points… Unless they come from their defense. I feel better about the side than the total here, but still like the under.

The Pick

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CHI -4.5

UNDER 41

Two Woofs

MIN @ CHI – Week 4

Bookmakers see this one as a pickem with Chicago getting the 3 points as the home team. 

It’s probably deserved considering Trubisky basically had 1 good quarter vs a terrible Redskins team and Taylor gabriel, who was Mitch’s favorite target Monday night and caught 3 tuts, is concussed and questionable for this weekend. 

Matt Nagy still has to hold Mitch’s hand and I don’t see him having as much success against a legit Vikings defense. 

The change in Minnesota’s strategy to basically not give Kirk Cousins the chance to hurt them is already paying dividends as Dalvin Cook is having a breakout season with 375 rushing yards and 4 tds in 3 games. Look for the Bears to again struggle to move the ball and Minnesota to do just enough for the win. 

Turnovers will swing this one.

The Pick

MIN +3

UNDER 38.5

One Woof

CHI @ WAS – Week 3

Two question mark teams slated to take the field on Monday night. The Dog is keeping it simple for this one.

The Redskins are looking like team of sick pups right now. Chris Thompson is out. Guice is done for the season. The running game is going to have a tough time getting going against the Chicago front 7.

The Skins are also looking very weak in the secondary with DRC going on IR. It makes sense that Washington is looking to bring in Jalen Ramsey.

When I look at these 2 facts this Dog is seeing the future un fold.

The Bears proven front 7 easily bottles up the Washington run game and can open up the defensive play book to put pressure on the pass game as well.

Couple a dominant Bears defensive performance with a weak Washington secondary and it looks like a Bears rout on both sides of the ball. 

Mitch Trubisky needs a confidence boost like a dog needs a bone. This is the best chance to do this.

The Pick

CHI -4

OVER 41.5

CHI @ DEN – Week 2

Vic Fangio taking over the helm in Denver and Dalton Risner DEN Right Guard was the 5th best rookie in Week 1 according to PFF.  You’re probably wondering why I bring this up and if it matters. The Dog says it does. WOOF WOOF

Lot of questions come from this.

Does Fangio have a plan for Will Risner and the rest of the Denver line to keep the Bears pass rush at bay? 

Probably. But a plan is a plan and to The Dog that means nothing. Go ahead and scheme all you want Vic.

Will Risner and the rest of the Denver line be able to keep the Bears pass rush at bay? 

Probably Not.

Does it even matter with Flacco back there? 

Absolutely Not.

Coming off of a loss to Oakland, Denver comes home with little hope of a W here.  They will go running back by committee with Royce Freeman and Phillip Lindsay against a Bears defense that should keep the two of them bottled up to paltry numbers.  Courtland Sutton and Emmanuel Sanders ought to get most of the downfield targets for the Broncos in this one, but ought to be blanketed by the talented Bears secondary. The aforementioned Bears pass rush coupled with Flacco growing roots in the pocket won’t give either one enough time to free themselves up.

Bears cover at -3.

The Dog says lay off the O/U on this one.  Too many questions about their ability to rack up a ton of points as the Bears look to improve offensively after an ineffective Week 1.

The Pick

CHI -3

Two Woofs

My phone is dead. Who can call in this bet for me?