Some games are just gut games, and here’s how I feel.

The Titans have struggled this season with bright spots and head scratchers. They are very inconsistent and Mariota just isn’t trustworthy.

The Bills have been on a roll this year. Their last loss may have been their highlight of the year keeping it that close with The Patriots.

So I’m going with my gut.

The Bills as a dog? No doubt, it’s going in the dog pound.

I’ve got some more beyond the gut too. Yes, the teams play the game on the field, but this one feels like it’s just as much about coaching. Love Vrabel. Love McDermott just a little more. He’s got to go against the best in Belichick twice a year, and that makes you sharpers. He showed it last week.

How did this line never move? I’m onto you Vegas… 🤔The fact that Josh Allen is going to play and the line didn’t budge makes me think they knew all along. Who cares. Liked the Bills without Allen. Love it now.  

Buffalo is 3-1 against the spread so far, maybe Vegas isn’t so smart after all. I trust my gut, I love the coach, and the trend is my friend. Bills looking at 4-1.

Who’s a computer to place this bet for me?

The Pick

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BUF +3

OVER 38.5

Three Woofs.

NE @ BUF – Week 4

Buffalo is a team that is no where close to as good as their record may indicate. Racking up 3 wins against teams with a combined record of 1-8, they’re finally going to get their true test to prove they’re a contender again.

They will fail that test miserably. That is why this one is in The Dog Pound.

The Dog says there is no chance Buffalo has the firepower to keep this one close against a smothering Patriots Defense. Josh Allen will be in for a long day against a Patriots Defense that still hasn’t given up a touchdown (remember both Jets touchdowns last week were not scored against the defense).

Patriots would have covered their monster spread last week had it not been for the two non-offensive Jets touchdowns. As The Dog called in the Week 3 recap, Jarrett Stidham is not the QB heir apparent – he won’t come in to mess this one up as – although if they’re up a bunch maybe Cody Kessler will.

Pats to roll in this one – Taking them to cover 7.5 in the Dog Pound and the OVER.

The Pick

NE – 7.5

OVER 42.5

Three Woofs

CIN @ BUF – Week 3

Cincinnati looked like ass last week against the Niners, but I hate to give so many points to a Buffalo team that I still think is mediocre. Yes they are 2-0 with two wins on the road, but they came against NYG and NYJ. Both of those teams have not proven to be a staunch competition by any means. 

Without AJ Green to bail him out, don’t expect Andy Dalton to be a difference maker – I’m not. Joe Mixon was shut down last week with only 17 yards. 

Bu, with Cole Beasley as his second best receiver, Josh Allen and the Bills aren’t exactly an offensive force to be reckoned with either.

Devin Singletary, the Bills promising rookie running back, would be the biggest impact player in my mind – but he is also banged up. 

The Dog isn’t going to overreact to the Bengals showing last week. I’m also liking the fact that The Bengals are 4-1 against the spread going back to last season.

Zac Taylor in his first year at Cincy needs a statement game. I’m going to say they keep this close enough to cover, maybe even leave Buffalo with a win.

The Pick

CIN +6


Two Woofs

9/22 Update

Devin Singletary is out for this one and the Bills are still expected to cover 6. Bengals with the points should be a money maker this week.

BUF @ NYG – Week 2

Back to back for the Bills @ MetLife Stadium.  Bills Mafia was shut out in the first half last week but had enough fight to come from behind with 17 2nd half points to get the dub. If they can carry some of that 4th quarter momentum into this game, they might be tough to beat.  But The Dog doesn’t see that happening.

Let’s face it, The New York Football Giants have the easiest problem to fix coming into week 2. Feed the most effective player in the NFL. 14 touches for Saquan last week?!?!?! What was that? Who cares, easy fix.


G men get ahead early and don’t let up.

The Pick

NYG +1.5

Three Woofs. The Dog loves a dog.

Now, who has service? I need you to place this bet for me.